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2030


2030

<> | ij븶

Ⱓ
2016-02-25
ePub
뷮
30 M
PCƮºPC
Ȳ
2, 0, 0
å α׷ ġ ȵǽó?å α׷  ġ
 Ұ
 Ұ
ټ

 Ұ

츮 1~2,  ȸ ΰ?

ѱ ǥ ̷ ϴ
20 ߿ ǰ ȸ, ׸


ڰ 2030 ѱ ȭ (Driving Forces) ̷ ɼ Ͽ ó 4,000 Ѵ. å ° å̴. 2013⿡ ǥ ù ° å [2030 ̷] ѹα ɼ ū ̷ Ҵ. 2014⿡ ǥ ° å [2030 ̷ 2] ̷ ȭ ӿ ο ȸ ̷ ߴ.

å 20Ⱓ ū ȸ ߴ. 5 ĥ ƽþ (Part 1) ӿ ȸ, 2020 10Ⱓ ְ θ ѷ ̷ (Part 2) ӿ ȸ. η ϴ ɰ (Part 3)ϸ鼭 ȸ. ư ڵ ̷ ¸ ִ غϴ ߾. å ü ؼ ̳ å п  ū Ʋ ΰ ȸ, η ̷ ϰ غ ֵ ߴ.

ڼҰ

ѱ ƽþƸ ǥϴ ̷Professional Futurist. ƽþƹ̷翬(www.afhi.org) , ְ ӱ(̷ â )/ ӱ, ƽþƹ̷ȸ âغ, ɻȸåǹȸ μ, ̷ȸ(World Future Society) ȸ, ̺θ ̷ μ, ̷ȸ ̴. پ ̷ ̷濵 ƽþƿ ѱ ǥϴ ̷ڷμ ް ִ. ִ ̷ ̰ â ̷ ɷ ޾, α , 񿵸ü鿡 Ȱϰ , ڹ, Futures Solution Providing Ȱ ϰ ִ.

Ư ѱ Ҿ 10⡯ 10 ƽþƸ б£ ̷ ó ֱٿ ǥؼ ũ ָް ִ. ̱ ̷ ԰ ޽ϴп ̷кο ̷ Peter C. Bishop(̷ȸ â̻), Christopher Burr Jones(̷ȸ 繫 ), Wendy Schultz (̷ȸ ȸ)鿡 ޾Ҵ. ö, , ̷, 濵 , Ű, ΰ, ̴. δ '10 ڿ Ƴ ȳ:Future Work' 17 ̷ '2020 in Asia', '2030 ̷', '10 ' ѱ, ߱, Ϻ  ǵڸ Ʈ Ǿ. Ͽ 2, Ϲ ̷ ڻ ̷ غ Ư ƽþƹ̷翬ҿ ǽϰ ִ.( ϴ α׷ ) Ͻ ̷ ڻ ̷ ϰ ִ.

δ¡thinking tool box,׵ , ,2020 in Asia,10 ,2030 ̷,2020 2040 ѱȸ ̷ ִ.

2030



Part1. ù °, ȥ ȸ: ƽþư ٲ

1 , 5Ⱓ ̷ ȴ
ٲ
ٰ ƽþ
ƽþ , д ̷

2 2016~2017, ´
¥ 2018~2019⿡ ´
2016 ѱ GDP 3% ұ
ƽþ , ̷ д
2016~2017, ﱹ Ʈ ´
2016, ָӴϿ ݵ ۵ȴ

3 ̱ رݸ λ 3 ó
2 ۵Ǿ
̱ رݸ λ , 3 ó

߱ Ϻ

4 2017~2018, ѱ ɼ 90%
ѱ ſ Aa2
ѱ رݸ  ϱ
2016⸻~2017, ε ŷ ´
2017 Ĺ~2018, Ǽ ؿ ĻѴ
̱ ݸ λ 5 ź
2018, ѱ ߹ ɼ 90%
2018, LG Ⱑ ۵ȴ
2018 , ڽ 1000 Ѵ
2018 , ѱ ȯ1,500
2019, Z 2 Ⱑ ۵ȴ
2020, Ⱑ ۵ȴ
2022~2025, ù ° ɼ ´

5 2019, ߱ ɼ ϶
޷ ȯ  7ܰ ȭ
7ܰ ȯ 
7ܰ ̱ ຸ δ
ٰ ߱ ó
2019, ߱ ⸦
2022~2025, ߱ ȭ 䱸 ִ

Par2. °, ȸ: ٲ

6 5 ȿ ̷ ϼؾ ϴ
ʿϴ
2020, ְ θ ѷ ̷
5 ȿ ̷ ϼ϶
̷ ŸӶ
ӹŸ 50~80% Ұ ȴ

7 Դ븦 ̱
ں 1
̷ ϴ о
踦 ıϴ ڰ ¸Ѵ

8 ¸ ϶: 5
ù ° ൿ, ̷ ľ϶
̷ڵ, ߽
ΰ Ͻ ȴ

9 ΰ: 5 ǰ
ƽþ 뺯 ȸ
̷ ϵ ٽ, κ
̷ , ٽ ǰ??
ϵ ̲
Ʈ ̷ ϼѴ
нϰ ȭϴ
Ʈ ο ȸ
ڵ Ʈ ̽ ȴ
ϵ Ʈ յ ΰ ָ϶
÷ ̷
츮 ´
2025 Ӱ 谡
̷ ΰ Һұ
̷ ǰ , ?ڵ?κ

10 ̷ £ ¸ϴ ൿ
° ൿ: ϶
° ൿ: ī ױ ϶
¸϶
° ൿ: ٴٿ ο
ºμ غ϶

11 2020 ڴ ɱ
³ȭ ̷
̷ ڴ ¾翡

12 ƽþ ̷ £ ϴ
κ ٲ ڸ ȭ
2 ο ִ ȸ

Part3. °, Ǽ ȸ: ٲ

13 21 η Ѱ踦 10
â ߻
η Ѱ10
θŬ ̷ Ǿ ̴
³ȭ, Ʈ 衯ó
³ȭ, 衯 ó

14 ô, ڿ ȴ
3 Ͼٸ
ù ° ȭ, ƽþ
° ȭ, ī
° ȭ, ߵ
븣 ̽ƸƼ ̷ ȴ
̷ ȴ

15 ϴ ΰ ̷
ݼ,
𿡼 ΰ ̷ ִ
ħ ϻ ̷, ־ ó
̷ ¼ ΰ Ѱ
̷ ֱⰡ ִ
ڻ ۵Ǿ
ű ȸ?
30 ɼ 70%

16 ׸
׷ ȯǴ 3 : , , Ǽ
Ҿ ȭ, Ǹ Ҿ ñ
Ѱ踦 21
̷ Ư¡, ʴ
̷ , ʴ
̷ , ַ Ȯȴ
ûȸ ɼ
ο췣 츮

ټ

  • 10
  • 8
  • 6
  • 4
  • 2

(ѱ 40̳)
侲
Ʈ
 ۼ ۼ õ

ϵ ϴ.